Why Cem Karsan Is Buying June Calls for a 40% Crash
53K views · Sep 25, 2026 · News & Politics
Comments · 210
@julesuk8295 · 5 days ago
A well reasoned, justifiable hypothesis and genuinely expert analysis. Love it. The fact that there are so many doubters is far more encouraging than if there weren’t. It’s a map with landmarks. If the map departs from reality, adjust accordingly, rather than press on blindly when you know you’re lost. In the meantime, thanks very much Cem.
21
@channelprospection · 5 days ago
Seen and heard lots of going-to-crash videos but this one sounds very clean, doable, win-win, short-V, fast recovery, longer spread, makes real-estate moving again especially retail, sovereign fund which is winner and controlled by government which great project. Very good intake here.
9
@mikemcintosh7725 · 4 days ago
I remember back last January when he said bond yields would go above 5 percent and eventually above 6 percent. Everyone thought he was crazy and the fed fund futures were saying we would get 3 rate cuts. TBF we did get one rate cut but he was right about rates exploding.
17
@Christopher.Jackson · 5 days ago
I'm already down 40%
9
@ChrisWilson-je5sl · 4 days ago
To be fair, Cem made a similar forecast for q4 last year
5
@Weasel_Face333 · 5 days ago (edited)
Keeping it simple; longing the VIX front month, 10/21 $14 strike, going to expand into a November Monthly soon, planning to roll the October call straight into it if it doesn’t catch by 10/9. And Equinor. That’s already a beast. Occasionally roll up to higher strikes on small pops, buy SVIX calls with the extracted loot, then roll that up OTM when VIX touches support levels, use that to roll the longs back down, then grab a December after October expires, roll the November calls into that after the election stuff dies down, and just keep rolling, barbelling, and expanding
1
@Shuranga554 · 4 days ago
The way market are nowadays this doesn’t sound that farfetch. 👍
2
@adamperry4839 · 4 days ago
He also called for a 20 percent drawdown this year
2
@kagaro99 · 5 days ago
Sometime after this, in the future, maybe not before the end of the year, maybe in the new year, just sometime not now but in the future, the market is going to do something…..definitely….solid analysis 🧐
35
@toddtraut7721 · 4 days ago
Underneath the headline should an understanding that you should keep your powder dry. When everyone is fearful, the bottom of the drawdown will be near. Be ready to get all in.
1
@zo9fg · 3 days ago
How do you buy June calls when it's a crash
2
@jeffreyharrison4045 · 5 days ago
Cem is on point! Great episode and guest. Thanks!
1
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