Cem Karsan Says the Market Is Splitting Into Two Economies
23K views · Sep 29, 2026 · News & Politics
Comments · 31
@justintindall9515 · 20 hours ago
Thanks
@jv45324 · 20 hours ago
nice
@willchung1588 · 18 hours ago
When you got Cem, just let him talk please
5
@grumpa5798 · 20 hours ago
Russell doesn't have access to the CAPEX funding and cheap money. In liquidity crises, the RUT goes first.
4
@Idiedin2020 · 18 hours ago
If the Federal Reserve forced short-term interest rates down to zero while capping long-term Treasury yields through aggressive bond purchases, they would be enacting Yield Curve Control (YCC) combined with an extreme phase of Quantitative Easing (QE).<br>Historically, this exact policy combination has been tried in the U.S. before (from 1942 to 1951 to finance WWII debt). Given current fiscal deficits, economic dynamics, and historical precedents, here is how long this policy would last and how it would impact inflation.<br>⏳ How Long Would It Last?<br>Such a policy would likely last no more than 2 to 4 years before fracturing under immense market pressure.<br>While a central bank theoretically has an infinite printing press to buy bonds and force rates to stay low, it cannot control human behavior or international capital flows. The policy would collapse due to three distinct breaking points:<br>• The Fed becomes the sole buyer: Because long-term bond yields would be capped artificially low while inflation rises, real (inflation-adjusted) yields would plunge deep into negative territory. Private domestic and international investors would refuse to buy or hold U.S. debt. The Fed would be forced to step in and buy nearly 100% of all newly issued government debt to maintain the cap, expanding its balance sheet to catastrophic levels.<br>• Currency devaluation: Foreign investors holding U.S. Treasuries would rapidly dump their bonds and convert their cash out of U.S. dollars into other currencies or hard assets. This capital flight would trigger a severe devaluation of the U.S. dollar, driving up import costs and accelerating domestic inflation.<br>• The "Exit" trap: Historically, exiting YCC is incredibly difficult. In 1951, the Fed had to fight the U.S. Treasury to end the policy via the Treasury-Fed Accord because the government had become dependent on cheap debt. The longer it lasts, the more devastating the eventual crash in bond prices (and spike in yields) will be when the cap is lifted.
3
@paigerasmussen5212 · 18 hours ago
I wish you had gone ahead and had the two hour discussion!
@truthis-salvation · 18 hours ago
Builders also financed future homes sales so they could build more than market needed to fund current buyer mortgages. They r lenders as well squeezing money supply.
1
@Kimberlee_Thomas · 6 hours ago
Good morning Smart and Beautiful Tasty Traders! 🤠 The Russell is NOT breaking! Up 266.4% in last 10 years. Looks like we have a bounce coming in after 4349. 💫
@TheHotbuddha · 20 hours ago
Whoever has something in his hand will receive more, and whoever has nothing will be deprived of even the little he has.
2
@lmfffaaao · 16 hours ago
Lets always remember how much cems underperformed the indices the last 5 year :)
1
@PsychedelicTrader · 6 hours ago
can we just get a solo cem karsan stream?
@alex.boss.77 · 18 hours ago
y0ou need to get that Ilya guy off the screen
5
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