گفتگو با حمزه صفوی درمورد جنگ | ۲ ماه آینده برای ایران سرنوشت‌ساز است

Hamzeh Safavi presents three scenarios for the future of the US war against Iran and five scenarios for how the war will end. He talks about the two crucial months until the US elections, sixty days that could be decisive for Iran and the war. In this interview, Hamzeh Safavi analyzes how these circumstances could change the course of diplomacy or confrontation. For weekly analyses of current affairs and war, follow the Entebbe channel and write your opinion on the future of these tensions. #War #Iran #Trump #Agreement #Negotiations_with_America #America #Islamic_Republic 00:00 What you will see 01:04 Deadlock for Iran and America 02:28 We are in a state of "decomposition" 03:19 In a war of attrition, resources are not unlimited 05:35 The victory of the Islamabad agreement is a victory for "Rubio" 07:38 The issue of the agreement goes far beyond the presidential election 08:24 They said "David left," but the clauses were in favor of Iran 09:54 "Quixotian trap" meaning he thought about the goal without paying attention to reality 11:37 Changing Iran's doctrine 14:15 The escalation of tension was not only caused by Iran 15:27 War is a disaster, but .... 17:41 Iran no longer considers sanctions to be the same as military confrontation Knows and gives military response 18:02 This behavior of the US is "barbaric" behavior 18:41 The escalation of tension must be calculated 20:11 The government must send a message "We are looking for a fair agreement" 21:23 Perhaps the US will interpret that some in Iran have the power to break the agreement 22:40 The roots of the Oman Corridor 23:35 Perhaps when the cost of erosion becomes heavy, they will return to MOU Plus 25:38 If what they give to Iran is more, they will move towards MOU Plus 26:19 The next 2 months are important 27:12 Neither Iran's goals in the war are clear, nor is the US 28:43 A bigger war after the November elections? 29:05 There is also "Above Blackness" 30:07 If I were Iran, I would seek continuous communication with Vance 31:33 Why is the relationship between the Arabs and Iran important? 33:01 Observer, Judge and Guarantee; What was not seen in Islamabad 33:49 The task of the "Contact Group" should have been made clear at the moment the agreement was announced 34:37 ​​What does America want? 35:57 Iran does not want it, otherwise it can lobby the United States 37:20 The most likely scenario 39:20 The transformation of "hostility into war" must be prevented 40:40 Analysis of the current situation 41:34 Is escalating tensions in Iran's favor? 42:21 Attacking Mount Kalang with a tactical nuclear bomb? 44:24 The Hormuz Lever Has Weakened, but Bab al-Mandeb Has Complicated the Equation 44:49 The Yemen Factor 45:35 A Sustainable Agreement Will Be Formed If It Can Be Sold Domestically 46:10 5 Scenarios for Ending the War 47:23 A Realizable Scenario Is the Space Between the Cold War and the War of Attrition 47:53 Iran Must Clarify the Dual Task of "Sovereignty-State" 49:24 It Is Not Possible to Sign an Agreement and Raise Slogans in Contradiction 49:53 Iran Must Clearly State What It Wants 50:51 Everyone Has a Proxy 52:11 We Will Not Reach a Deadlock in the Ansar Allah File 53:47 The Image of a Desirable Agreement from the Sovereignty's Perspective 54:46 The Bottom of a Desirable Agreement for the US Is Determining the Nuclear Status 56:14 Hitting the Region's Infrastructure as a Measure Primitive is stupidity 01:01:18 Making air routes unsafe is also part of Iran's scenario 01:02:15 Apart from the Strait of Hormuz, what are Iran's pressure cards? 01:03:17 China likes to get a free ride 01:06:12 Iran is not reluctant to have Chinese mediation 01:07:17 China is upset that Iran has no specific task 01:09:56 The Strait of Hormuz should be a guarantee of accepting Iran's role 01:11:48 Will the US retreat as far as Jordan? 01:14:08 We haven't given a credible pulse yet 01:15:07 Ready for an agreement? The eye testifies, the eyebrow frowns 01:15:33 The government is not trusted by foreign actors 01:16:50 The country's ideal and real priority should be clarified 01:20:00 Defending strategic isolation keeps us at security levels 01:22:06 The military has no dogmatic view at all 01:24:56 In the next three to five years, current events will benefit Iran