گفتگو با ولی نصر؛ فصل آخر جنگ ایران و آمریکا

Wali Nasr was a senior advisor to the administration of former US President Barack Obama and is a professor of international relations and Middle East studies at Johns Hopkins University in the United States. In his numerous works, he has provided realistic analyses of political developments in various societies in the Middle East, including Iran. In an interview with Entikhab, Nasr analyzed the current conditions and tensions between Iran and the United States and outlined the scenarios ahead. “On the Edge of Solitude” is the title of his recent book on the Islamic Republic’s grand strategy, which has recently been translated into Persian and has received much attention. #War #Iran #Trump #America #Israel #Politics #IslamicRepublic #Analysis 00:00 What you will see 00:44 The war never ended, but went through different periods 02:07 The conditions of the suspension in the war were unsustainable 02:50 From the US perspective, "economic pressure" is better than "hot war" 04:04 Returning to war is not a solution for the US 05:40 The purpose of the war is to create a framework for further negotiations 06:06 After all, this war is an understanding, but we are not at that stage 07:25 I don't think the US will go towards a tactical nuclear bomb 09:23 Will Iran blink first or the US? 12:02 In America, the pressure is on politicians more than the people 13:35 Nothing is on the table now 15:04 Resilience must be measured against what is on the table 15:35 Both sides relied on pressure without a solution 16:36 Perhaps Trump's defeat in the midterm elections will make him much more dangerous 18:09 Trump's electoral defeat and a positive end to the war? One piece is missing 18:41 Perhaps the "big defeat" in the election will make Trump more powerful 20:47 We have a long way to go until the midterm elections 21:12 It is very difficult to estimate the outcome of "rocketing the election" 22:57 Many things in this war have been shocking for the United States 26:16 The United States wants to seize the ATO that is in Iran's hands, then negotiate 28:13 The United States wants to say "Iran's siege is in the hole" 29:11 Both sides will not lose the Strait of Hormuz until there are directional negotiations 31:26 Returning to the memorandum of understanding is both far away and not possible 32:35 From a military perspective, we have reached a stalemate in the war 34:10 The war has also become somewhat of an attrition 35:48 Perhaps we can get out of the attrition war by changing the equation 36:25 Sometimes The equation can only be changed with a "bigger war" 38:14 Trump and the fourth phase of the war; America has no convincing strategy 42:00 The basic agreement will also lead to a kind of cold war 43:01 America cannot pursue a "grand agreement" now 43:31 The problem with the agreement, from America's perspective, was that it was a sure victory for Iran 44:22 An agreement is a great victory when the other side is willing to live with it 45:16 America's absolute defeat means "sowing seeds for the next war" 46:32 There must be an acceptance of the "balance of power" at the end of the war 47:25 Iran and America must move from a "hot peace" to a "cold war" 48:37 Normalizing relations between Iran and America is not "achievable" 49:12 It is not in Iran's interest to rub the noses of the countries in the region in the dirt 51:46 Whatever came out of the agreement was less than what America wanted 53:59 As the war continued, America would sign an agreement that would It wouldn't work 56:09 They want the conflict to continue until the end 57:00 The memorandum of understanding was such a political failure for Trump that... 58:31 Any kind of agreement has an internal feedback for both sides 01:00:12 Maybe both sides will misread each other's hands 01:00:46 Since there are no direct relations, there is a high possibility of misunderstanding 01:01:23 It remains to be seen whether Iran wants to pay the price for this kind of relations with the United States 01:04:08 Regional countries do not want to have a direct conflict with Iran 01:06:18 This war is a historical turning point for Iran