【精選】習近平不准美對台軍售=愚蠢外交！根本擋不住川普「一定會賣台軍售」為何硬頭皮還是要去美國？ -《寶傑怎麼說》 劉寶傑

00:00 US-China Game and the Unresolved Arms Sales to Taiwan on the Eve of the Trump-Xi Meeting With the Trump-Xi meeting imminent, both sides are outwardly receiving each other with high-level protocol, but in reality, they each have their own agendas and are engaged in a game of cat and mouse. Xi Jinping hopes for tariff deferrals and the lifting of the chip ban, while Trump is focused on large-scale procurement orders and commitments to control the source of fentanyl. In this process, the previously suspended $14 billion arms sale to Taiwan has become a bargaining chip in US-China negotiations, sparking significant attention and anxiety in Taiwanese society. 04:04 The Subsequent Calculations and Defense Strategy of the US Arms Sale to Taiwan Experts analyze that the arms sale to Taiwan has not been abandoned. Under pressure from the US Congress and urging from defense companies for outstanding payments, it will likely be approved as early as the end of the year. Trump's strategic intention is to pressure Beijing through the pace of arms sales. As long as the CCP does not change the status quo by force, the US will maintain peace and order in the Indo-Pacific region. Taiwan should not be overly fearful of being sold out, but should actively enhance its independent defense, moving towards a resilient path that makes it "unable to sell" to its adversaries. 10:32 The US-China Hegemonic System Struggle and Seeking Peace Through Strength This segment explores the essence of the US-China rivalry as a struggle for dominance in systems and lifestyles, and analyzes the severe challenges posed by the massive US national debt to the dollar's hegemonic status. Looking back at the Cold War, the program specifically cites President Reagan's strategic thinking of "seeking peace through strength," deeply examining the excessive concessions made by the Western camp to the CCP on issues such as technology, finance, and the WTO. Drawing lessons from the collapse of the Soviet arms race and the Star Wars program, it points out that the current response to the CCP threat must adhere to the principle of head-on confrontation, and that we must not open the door to the thief. 16:31 The First Island Chain's Chokepoint and the Ultimate Defense Line of the Dollar's Value The program analyzes the irreplaceable nature of Taiwan's trade based on quality, and reveals Taiwan's crucial geographical and strategic value as the northern and southern hub of the first island chain. The Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea handle a very high proportion of global container shipping, and coupled with shared democratic and free values, make Taiwan an international chokepoint for containing the CCP's expansion. This section delves into the potential domino effect if the US chooses to abandon Taiwan, potentially causing neighboring allies to align with China, thus fundamentally undermining the global credibility of the dollar and the lifeline of US hegemony. 20:49 The Silicon Shield and the Inseparable Strategic Alliance Between the US and Taiwan Continuing Kissinger's argument about controlling global strategic resources, the program points out that semiconductor chips have become the most crucial modern strategic resource of our time. Addressing concerns about Taiwan being "hollowed out," the host and experts use data to demonstrate that even with aggressive factory construction, the US can only meet a small portion of its high-end chip needs and cannot escape its dependence on Taiwan's supply chain. Leveraging Taiwan's overwhelming advantage in four and a half of the five major semiconductor sectors, the US and Taiwan have established a close strategic alliance based on chips, making it the only viable option for safeguarding the global technological lifeline. 26:54 Cognitive Warfare and Taiwan's Choice Under the Shadow of the US-China "Big Deal" This section analyzes how Chinese leader Xi Jinping, facing internal economic and diplomatic difficulties, urgently needs to establish political achievements before the 21st Party Congress by promoting a "big deal" on arms sales and cross-strait issues during his visit to the US. This report exposes how the CCP, through social media platforms and in conjunction with the Taiwan Affairs Office, is creating the illusion that Taiwan is discussing a "peace solution," intending to wage cognitive warfare to weaken Taiwanese society's will to resist. The conclusion emphasizes that the Communist Party system is the root of the problem. Taiwan, bolstered by the US-China confrontation and the chip strategy, is no longer the same as before. It should recognize the situation and firmly choose a way of life that can maintain long-term stability. 35:56 Analysis of the US Think Tank's "Abandon Taiwan" Report and Warnings for Taiwan Strait Security The US think tank "Defense First" has released a report advocating a retreat to the second island chain, arguing that the US military should abandon its first is...