КАРНАУХОВ: КАК ОН ВИДИТ СЛЕДУЮЩИЙ ЭТАП ПРОТИВОСТОЯНИЯ

What might happen after the current stage of the conflict—and which scenario is Russia trying to prevent? Political scientist Sergei Karnaukhov explains why the traditional understanding of "red lines" no longer provides simple answers and which areas of further escalation he considers the most dangerous. In conversation with Yevgeny Davutov, we discuss the Baltics and Kaliningrad, Belarus, the South Caucasus, Turkey, Japan, sanctions pressure on Russia, and the future of Ukraine. Karnaukhov also examines why, in his opinion, the current standoff cannot be viewed solely as a conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Why are nuclear weapons still the last resort? What might happen around Kaliningrad? What role might Belarus and the Caucasus play? And why, according to Karnaukhov, could the biggest changes still lie ahead? Watch the new episode of the program "On the Line" on the Soyuznoye Veche channel. Subscribe to the channel and share in the comments: which of the scenarios presented do you consider the most serious? ✔ Subscribe to the "UNION VECHE" channel: https://goo.su/J55rLh 00:00 — Beginning 00:31 — Is Europe preparing for war with Russia? 01:09 — What happened to the deterrence system? 05:03 — Have the red lines already been crossed? 06:32 — Why isn't Russia showing everything that's happening? 09:27 — Why is Karnaukhov against a nuclear strike? 11:25 — What is Russia's goal in this confrontation? 14:00 — "We are alone": how the current situation differs from past wars 15:18 — Why is Russia not going for maximum escalation? 17:08 — What "second stage" does Karnaukhov describe? 17:23 — Kaliningrad and the Baltic: the most dangerous scenario? 18:03 — Turkey, Japan, and the Expanding Conflict 19:53 — Belarus and the Unexpected Deal with the US 23:16 — What's Really Happening in the Middle East 26:45 — Why the Caucasus is Becoming Critically Important 28:50 — "Irreversible Changes": What Happened to Armenia 32:27 — South Ossetia and Abkhazia: What Karnaukhov Proposes 35:12 — Over 26,000 Sanctions: How Russia Is Enduring 37:25 — What's Hindering a Technological Breakthrough 39:54 — What to Do with Ukraine After the Conflict 43:26 — Why "Gray Zones" Are Dangerous 46:19 — Does Russia Need a New Buffer Zone? 49:01 — How the Rules of Modern Warfare Have Changed 50:09 — What Does the West Really Want? 51:42 — An unexpected thesis about the US and Europe 53:29 — Personal conversation: what music does Karnaukhov listen to 57:13 — The Finale ➤ Our website: https://www.souzveche.ru/ ➤ MAX: https://max.ru/ru_by ➤ ZEN: https://dzen.ru/ru_by ➤ VK: https://vk.com/souzveche ➤ OK: https://ok.ru/souzveche ➤ TG: https://t.me/souz_veche ➤ RUTUBE: https://rutube.ru/channel/71228095/